Apparently, Martin Armstrong, together with his AI computer 'Socrates', has constructed an Economic Confidence Model that, more than likely, out-performs the Strauss-Howe generation theory.
Martin: From the very beginning, you have two forms of analysis:
One in which someone comes up with a theory, then they go do the research to try to prove that theory, which tends to lead to a kind of cherry-picking for facts in support of the presupposed conclusion.
The other way to do research is that you happen to stumble upon something & then try to understand it.